Economic Tracker

The outlook for the Central America and Caribbean economies is expected to stay bleak in 2020, registering technical recession in Q2–Q3 of 2020 and a full year recession for 2021. Local and global containment measures, along with the economies’ large dependence on tourism and remittances particularly coming from the United States, have led to a...

Economies in Asia-Pacific are likely to experience sluggish growth in 2020 on account of the unexpected ramifications of the COVID-19 outbreak. Regional growth is likely to remain stunted in H1 2020 due to the outbreak, but expected to pick up in H2 2020 as the lockdowns and travel bans are expected to be lifted. Key economies like Australia and ...

The macroeconomic outlook for South Asia is expected to be relatively strong in 2019 on account of infrastructural development and investments. Nevertheless, the outlook doesn’t look great in terms of even higher growth as a result of a trade war between two economic giants, the United States and China, affecting the region. The growth pattern is...

The Americas are expected to record tepid growth in 2020, higher than that of 2019. Advanced economies such as the US and Canada are likely to witness an economic rebound in 2020. Other smaller economies like Panama and Chile are poised to grow as well. However, Argentina’s growth is likely to remain contracted on account of currency deterioratio...

The economic outlook for Western Europe is expected to stay muted in 2020. The US-China trade wars, global economic slowdown, and the uncertainty surrounding Brexit have softened external demand, affecting export-based economies such as Germany. While unemployment rates have been low and stable across most of Western Europe, job growth has plateaue...

The growth outlook for the Middle East countries in Q3 2017 was somber amid burgeoning geopolitical crisis and ongoing low oil prices. The Saudi Arabian economy continued deterioration in 2017 registering negative growth rates in Q1 and Q2 2017 owing to The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) agreement on curbing oil production...

Low oil prices will continue to take a toll on the economic health of the gulf economies in the second quarter of 2017. Low energy prices leading to burgeoning fiscal deficit have adversely affected Qatar’s economic prospects. Output in the oil and gas sector remained flat and GDP growth appears to have contracted in Q1 2017. The multi-year $200 ...

The economic outlook for the Middle Eastern countries is challenged by the continued oil price sluggishness. The fiscal consolidation measures will continue throughout 2017 to combat deficit and is expected to ease in 2018 if oil prices uptick. On one hand, the first half of 2017 is being characterized by Saudi Arabia led oil production cut agreeme...

In Q2 2017, growth in Latin America slowed to 1.9% compared to the growth of 2.2% in Q1 2017, as manufacturing sector shrank by 0.5% and external demand declined. Colombia, Mexico, and Panama’s economic growth declined registering 1.2%, 2.2%, and 5.4% growth, respectively, in Q1 2017. However, Panama continues to remain the fastest growing econom...