Economic Tracker

The outlook for the Central America and Caribbean economies is expected to stay bleak in 2020, registering technical recession in Q2–Q3 of 2020 and a full year recession for 2021. Local and global containment measures, along with the economies’ large dependence on tourism and remittances particularly coming from the United States, have led to a...

Economies in Asia-Pacific are likely to experience sluggish growth in 2020 on account of the unexpected ramifications of the COVID-19 outbreak. Regional growth is likely to remain stunted in H1 2020 due to the outbreak, but expected to pick up in H2 2020 as the lockdowns and travel bans are expected to be lifted. Key economies like Australia and ...

The macroeconomic outlook for South Asia is expected to be relatively strong in 2019 on account of infrastructural development and investments. Nevertheless, the outlook doesn’t look great in terms of even higher growth as a result of a trade war between two economic giants, the United States and China, affecting the region. The growth pattern is...

The Americas are expected to record tepid growth in 2020, higher than that of 2019. Advanced economies such as the US and Canada are likely to witness an economic rebound in 2020. Other smaller economies like Panama and Chile are poised to grow as well. However, Argentina’s growth is likely to remain contracted on account of currency deterioratio...

The economic outlook for Western Europe is expected to stay muted in 2020. The US-China trade wars, global economic slowdown, and the uncertainty surrounding Brexit have softened external demand, affecting export-based economies such as Germany. While unemployment rates have been low and stable across most of Western Europe, job growth has plateaue...

Germany and the United Kingdom are gradually emerging from the ongoing Eurozone debt crisis and are expected to post moderate growth in H2 2013. However, despite positive indications, France, Italy and Spain are likely to experience either negative or flat economic growth in 2013. The European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain low interest rates to ...

Emerging Middle East and Africa (MEA) is one of the fastest developing regions, with economies showing relative resilience to the global economic downturn and strengthened performance expected in the short term. Within the MEA region there are divergent growth patterns in H2 2013. The political instability in Egypt has severely hampered growth pros...

Emerging Latin America's growth will remain moderate in Q4 2013 due to slow recovery in external demand. Private consumption demand will remain the main driver for growth in Q4 2013 and Q1 2014. Improvement in current account balances and currency values is unlikely in the short run. Foreign direct investment into the region is likely to remain sta...

Romania and Turkey are gaining momentum, projecting positive growth in H2 2013. Eastern Europe is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 2.2 percent in 2013, with the automotive sector being the key for growth. Hungary and Turkey have completed their debt repayments to the IMF, while Ukraine is in the process of completing it. The region is ...