Economic Tracker

Significant fall in oil prices has drastically altered public spending patterns throughout the region. Growing number of countries are trying to opt for a strict fiscal measures and tax impositions to combat fiscal deficit. Increased oil production from Iran post sanctions could pose greater geopolitical risks on the region’s overall economic hea...

Middle Eastern economic growth is likely to remain somber due to the geopolitical turbulences throughout 2015 out of the collapse in oil prices as well as Iran nuclear deal. While Saudi Arabia is contemplating a loss of market share given increased oil production from Iran, The United Arab Emirates and Qatar are trying to remain resilient with impr...

Oil prices might see some signs of stabilization given the discussions between Saudi Arabia and Russia in February 2016 to freeze crude oil production. Most of the oil exporting economies in the Middle East and African region, barring Qatar and United Arab Emirates due to their well-diversified economy, ended 2015 with abysmal economic fundamentals...

The North American energy renaissance has taken a back seat in 2016 due to plunging oil prices. Canada is suffering from an economic downturn due to its heavy reliance on the oil and gas industry. The Chinese slowdown and a rising dollar will further create economic headwinds in Canada. Even though the United States stays resilient because of stron...

Latin American economy is likely to remain moderate for H1 2016 as growth is expected to gradually pick up in 2016 mainly due to strong domestic demand. Currency depreciation has increased inflation above target in most of the countries (except Mexico) and remains a major cause of concern for respective Central Banks. Planning and implementation of...

The growth outlook of the region is expected to remain lackluster for the rest of 2015. But it is anticipated that there will be no temporary slowdown in the region till H1 2016 in spite of low growth rates of around 3% for the region. Unfavorable combination of external factors like low commodity prices, sluggish exports, slowdown in China, rising...

A slowdown in energy sector is likely to hamper the overall growth of North America, which is expected to grow at a modest rate of around 2-2.5 percent in 2015 on account of weak investment growth. Rise in consumer debt and the housing market bubble are weakening the growth prospects of the Canadian economy. The Q1 2016 outlook of the United States...

North America’s outlook for second half of 2015 remains uncertain primarily due to contraction in emerging economies like China and Brazil. Moreover, currency appreciation, proposed interest rate hike in the United States, and unstable oil and gasoline prices are also likely to act as growth restraints in the second half of 2015.

The growth outlook of Q2 2015 for Emerging Middle East and African remains strong undeterred by the shrinkage in oil revenue. Declining oil prices aggravate the essence of diversification and thus, non-oil sectors like agriculture, banking, finance and tourism are anticipated to play a substantial role in the progress of the economy in H2 2015. Rap...