Economic Tracker

Economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region slumped from 5.2% in Q4 2017 to 5.0% in Q1 2018, as the escalation of the trade war between China and the United States had repercussions for global trade growth. China’s growth is likely to slump further from the 6.2% registered in Q2 2018, as manufacturing output started declining in Q2 2018. Australia...

The growth outlook for the economies in the Eastern Europe and The Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) remains moderate. While the economic growth in the Eastern European countries such as The Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland is gaining momentum, Turkey is expected to plunge into a near-zero growth situation by the end of Q4 2018. Czech eco...

In Q3 2018, regional growth in the Asia-Pacific region remained stagnated at 4.6% with growth expected to remain low during the forecast period. In Australia, GDP growth increased from 2.4% in 2017 to 2.9% in 2018, largely due to increase in business investment and private consumption. Sri Lanka is expected to register 2.9% in Q3 2018, slower than ...

Economic recovery in Saudi Arabia will continue to be supported by pick up in oil production to compensative for output decline in Iran. While Aramco privatization is delayed, Saudi aims to generate $11 billion non-oil revenue through privatization program by 2020. The killing of journalist Khashoggi heightened capital flight in October 2018, as th...

Economies of the Middle Eastern countries will remain modest due to higher oil exporting revenue being moderately offset by recession in Iran. Higher oil prices are expected to drive oil and gas and hydrocarbon sector in the region, with Saudi Arabia leading the pack in 2019. OPEC oil production dipped in November 2018 due to fall in Iranian produc...

Latin American economy is likely to remain moderate for H1 2016 as growth is expected to gradually pick up in 2016 mainly due to strong domestic demand. Currency depreciation has increased inflation above target in most of the countries (except Mexico) and remains a major cause of concern for respective Central Banks. Planning and implementation of...

The growth outlook of the region is expected to remain lackluster for the rest of 2015. But it is anticipated that there will be no temporary slowdown in the region till H1 2016 in spite of low growth rates of around 3% for the region. Unfavorable combination of external factors like low commodity prices, sluggish exports, slowdown in China, rising...

The regional outlook remains depressing for H1 2016, as Brazil and Russia still are technically in recession. Slowdown in China and strengthening of the US dollar have weakened global commodity prices. This has severely hampered the South African economy as it is highly reliant on commodity exports. Moreover, continuous inflation and tightening of ...

The economic outlook of the region for H2 2015 does not look promising, as Brazil and Russia continue to be negatively impacted due to lower commodity prices. Devaluation of local currency and softening of Gross Domestic Product growth are anticipated to create further market distortions in China. Persistent high unemployment and decreasing product...