Economic Tracker

BRICS countries are expected to end 2014 on a low note, owing to various domestic as well as external factors. Weak global recovery is taking a toll on the external demand of these countries, while high consumer prices are likely to hinder strong private consumption growth in the coming quarters. Investors’ sentiments remain uncertain in Q4 2014,...

Despite slowdown, BRICS economies are likely to drive global growth in 2015, with India and China witnessing 2–3% higher growth than the global average of 3.5%. Lower oil prices will continue to support steady consumption growth in oil importing countries such as India, China, and South Africa. However, Russia and Brazil are likely to suffer from...

Emerging Europe is expected to see a subdued growth of about 2% in H1 2015 due to lower investor confidence and uncertainty associated with the Greek and Ukraine crises. European Central Bank’s monetary stimulus from March 2015 is expected to reduce deflation and the proposed European Union investment plan is likely to improve investments in key...

Growth in Western European economies is expected to recover gradually in 2015 as compared to 2014, mainly owing to the European Central Bank’s trillion-Euro monetary stimulus. Moreover, depreciation of Euro is expected to provide the much needed boost to the exports of the region in 2015. The uncertainty around the ongoing crisis in Greece is ant...

Germany and the United Kingdom are gradually emerging from the ongoing Eurozone debt crisis and are expected to post moderate growth in H2 2013. However, despite positive indications, France, Italy and Spain are likely to experience either negative or flat economic growth in 2013. The European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain low interest rates to ...

Romania and Turkey are gaining momentum, projecting positive growth in H2 2013. Eastern Europe is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 2.2 percent in 2013, with the automotive sector being the key for growth. Hungary and Turkey have completed their debt repayments to the IMF, while Ukraine is in the process of completing it. The region is ...

France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and The United Kingdom have been classified as Western European countries in this study. It is assumed that the economy in this region may post a marginal recovery in H1 2014, following a prolonged economic uncertainty. At present, the business sentiment in France is low, due to a poor Purchasing Managers Index. The s...

The Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Turkey, and Ukraine have been classified as Emerging European countries. The expectations of favourable fiscal and monetary measures by the government in the Czech Republic and the impressive performance of the automotive and agricultural sectors in Hungary are expected to drive the growth in these coun...