Economic Tracker

Despite slowdown, BRICS economies are likely to drive global growth in 2015, with India and China witnessing 2–3% higher growth than the global average of 3.5%. Lower oil prices will continue to support steady consumption growth in oil importing countries such as India, China, and South Africa. However, Russia and Brazil are likely to suffer from...

Latin American growth outlook is anticipated to remain lackluster for 2015 due to slow recovery of global demand for the mining products of the region. Sluggish exports resulting in the devaluation of local currencies led to a continuous rise in inflation levels of several regional economies such as Colombia, Chile, and Brazil. As a result, consume...

The outlook for H1, 2015 remains uncertain; growth momentum in the region is expected to decelerate to 1% in 2015 on account of faltering commodity demand, high consumer prices and uncertain foreign investor sentiments. Fiscal consolidation and structural reforms are crucial to revive growth and investment inflows in the region.

The Latin American economies are anticipated to register subdued growth in H2 2014 caused by weak commodity prices and political uncertainties. As a result, confidence levels will diminish. However, growth levels are expected to pick up in H1 2015, with economies such as Mexico and Colombia benefiting from positive spillovers of the US recovery and...

Robust improvement in consumption demand, generous government support, and improvement in public sector spending on infrastructure are expected to register steady growth in the Middle East and Africa in 2015. However, pragmatic macroeconomic policies to stabilize the global oil price fluctuations at $50to $60 per barrel in 2015 are likely to remain...

Economic recovery of the Middle Eastern economies is anticipated to be weaker in H1 2014 because of the increase in regional security concerns, ongoing political unrest, weak economic policies, and sluggish recovery of the global economy. Fiscal and external deficits will remain major areas of concern, especially in countries most adversely affecte...

Advanced economies are getting stabilized; this provides a boost to the growth of the Emerging Middle East and African countries in H2 2014. Majority of Middle East and African economies are heavily commodity export dependent. The total value of goods exported by the region largely comprises commodities (with more than 50% share), making the count...

The Middle-East and African countries are likely to see modest growth during the first half of 2015 with GDP growth of around 4 per cent, which is lower than the region’s potential. Sluggish global recovery, weak hydrocarbon prices, and several structural instabilities in the domestic market are likely to dampen growth. However, macroeconomic im...

Middle East and African economies are expected to see an improved performance in third quarter of 2014, mainly backed by the growth in external demand from advanced countries and diversification into non-oil sectors. The improved scenario is likely to continue during the rest half of 2014; however ongoing geopolitical tensions and staggering oil pr...