Economic Tracker

While the growth outlook for the Latin American region as a whole does not look bright for 2014, especially for South American countries, countries like Mexico and Colombia are expected to register healthy growth in 2014. While these two are heavily dependent on the United States for their exports demand, a fast recovery of the US economy is likely...

The Latin American region as a whole is expected to register a weakened growth rate of 1.3% in 2014. On the external front, weak commodity prices have led to fall in private spending, while on the domestic front, policy uncertainties have lowered confidence levels. However, a 2.2% growth recovery is foreseen in 2015 as policy uncertainties reduce.

Latin American economies that are tied to the United States for their exports demand are expected to directly benefit from a faster than expected recovery of the US economy in 2014. However, countries such as Chile and most of other Latin American economies are anticipated to be adversely affected by falling raw materials prices and slowing Chinese...

Latin American growth outlook is anticipated to remain lackluster for 2015 due to slow recovery of global demand for the mining products of the region. Sluggish exports resulting in the devaluation of local currencies led to a continuous rise in inflation levels of several regional economies such as Colombia, Chile, and Brazil. As a result, consume...

The outlook for H1, 2015 remains uncertain; growth momentum in the region is expected to decelerate to 1% in 2015 on account of faltering commodity demand, high consumer prices and uncertain foreign investor sentiments. Fiscal consolidation and structural reforms are crucial to revive growth and investment inflows in the region.

The Latin American economies are anticipated to register subdued growth in H2 2014 caused by weak commodity prices and political uncertainties. As a result, confidence levels will diminish. However, growth levels are expected to pick up in H1 2015, with economies such as Mexico and Colombia benefiting from positive spillovers of the US recovery and...

Robust improvement in consumption demand, generous government support, and improvement in public sector spending on infrastructure are expected to register steady growth in the Middle East and Africa in 2015. However, pragmatic macroeconomic policies to stabilize the global oil price fluctuations at $50to $60 per barrel in 2015 are likely to remain...

Economic recovery of the Middle Eastern economies is anticipated to be weaker in H1 2014 because of the increase in regional security concerns, ongoing political unrest, weak economic policies, and sluggish recovery of the global economy. Fiscal and external deficits will remain major areas of concern, especially in countries most adversely affecte...

Advanced economies are getting stabilized; this provides a boost to the growth of the Emerging Middle East and African countries in H2 2014. Majority of Middle East and African economies are heavily commodity export dependent. The total value of goods exported by the region largely comprises commodities (with more than 50% share), making the count...