Economic Tracker

The Western European countries were recovering gradually in Q1 2015 mainly driven by a stronger domestic demand and an improvement in private consumption. A favorable combination of subdued global oil prices, a weak Euro and European Central Bank’s aggressive trillion-Euro monetary stimulus is poised to drive the growth of the Western European ec...

Emerging Europe is expected to witness a repressed growth of about 2.2% in H2 2015 due to bearish investor confidence and ongoing dilemma associated with the Greek and Ukraine crisis. Although economic growth in most of the regional countries is expected to gather momentum in Q3 and Q4 2015, led by Czech Republic and Romania, the contraction in Rus...

BRICS countries are expected to end 2014 on a low note, owing to various domestic as well as external factors. Weak global recovery is taking a toll on the external demand of these countries, while high consumer prices are likely to hinder strong private consumption growth in the coming quarters. Investors’ sentiments remain uncertain in Q4 2014,...

Despite slowdown, BRICS economies are likely to drive global growth in 2015, with India and China witnessing 2–3% higher growth than the global average of 3.5%. Lower oil prices will continue to support steady consumption growth in oil importing countries such as India, China, and South Africa. However, Russia and Brazil are likely to suffer from...

Robust improvement in consumption demand, generous government support, and improvement in public sector spending on infrastructure are expected to register steady growth in the Middle East and Africa in 2015. However, pragmatic macroeconomic policies to stabilize the global oil price fluctuations at $50to $60 per barrel in 2015 are likely to remain...

Economic recovery of the Middle Eastern economies is anticipated to be weaker in H1 2014 because of the increase in regional security concerns, ongoing political unrest, weak economic policies, and sluggish recovery of the global economy. Fiscal and external deficits will remain major areas of concern, especially in countries most adversely affecte...

Advanced economies are getting stabilized; this provides a boost to the growth of the Emerging Middle East and African countries in H2 2014. Majority of Middle East and African economies are heavily commodity export dependent. The total value of goods exported by the region largely comprises commodities (with more than 50% share), making the count...

The Middle-East and African countries are likely to see modest growth during the first half of 2015 with GDP growth of around 4 per cent, which is lower than the region’s potential. Sluggish global recovery, weak hydrocarbon prices, and several structural instabilities in the domestic market are likely to dampen growth. However, macroeconomic im...

Middle East and African economies are expected to see an improved performance in third quarter of 2014, mainly backed by the growth in external demand from advanced countries and diversification into non-oil sectors. The improved scenario is likely to continue during the rest half of 2014; however ongoing geopolitical tensions and staggering oil pr...