Economic Tracker

The outlook for the Central America and Caribbean economies is expected to stay bleak in 2020, registering technical recession in Q2–Q3 of 2020 and a full year recession for 2021. Local and global containment measures, along with the economies’ large dependence on tourism and remittances particularly coming from the United States, have led to a...

Economies in Asia-Pacific are likely to experience sluggish growth in 2020 on account of the unexpected ramifications of the COVID-19 outbreak. Regional growth is likely to remain stunted in H1 2020 due to the outbreak, but expected to pick up in H2 2020 as the lockdowns and travel bans are expected to be lifted. Key economies like Australia and ...

The Americas are expected to record tepid growth in 2020, higher than that of 2019. Advanced economies such as the US and Canada are likely to witness an economic rebound in 2020. Other smaller economies like Panama and Chile are poised to grow as well. However, Argentina’s growth is likely to remain contracted on account of currency deterioratio...

The economic outlook for Western Europe is expected to stay muted in 2020. The US-China trade wars, global economic slowdown, and the uncertainty surrounding Brexit have softened external demand, affecting export-based economies such as Germany. While unemployment rates have been low and stable across most of Western Europe, job growth has plateaue...

Significant fall in oil prices has drastically altered public spending patterns throughout the region. Growing number of countries are trying to opt for a strict fiscal measures and tax impositions to combat fiscal deficit. Increased oil production from Iran post sanctions could pose greater geopolitical risks on the region’s overall economic hea...

Middle Eastern economic growth is likely to remain somber due to the geopolitical turbulences throughout 2015 out of the collapse in oil prices as well as Iran nuclear deal. While Saudi Arabia is contemplating a loss of market share given increased oil production from Iran, The United Arab Emirates and Qatar are trying to remain resilient with impr...

Oil prices might see some signs of stabilization given the discussions between Saudi Arabia and Russia in February 2016 to freeze crude oil production. Most of the oil exporting economies in the Middle East and African region, barring Qatar and United Arab Emirates due to their well-diversified economy, ended 2015 with abysmal economic fundamentals...

The North American energy renaissance has taken a back seat in 2016 due to plunging oil prices. Canada is suffering from an economic downturn due to its heavy reliance on the oil and gas industry. The Chinese slowdown and a rising dollar will further create economic headwinds in Canada. Even though the United States stays resilient because of stron...

The Q1 2016 outlook for emerging Asia-Pacific countries is likely to remain bearish because of the slow export recovery. Indonesian and Thai economy might uptick slightly as infrastructure investment accelerates. Malaysian economic outlook for Q1 2016 is dim as it is still battling the conflict out of the imposition of Goods and Services Tax and ad...