Economic Tracker

The Q3 2016 outlook for the emerging European economies shows volatility, shaken by the BREXIT vote hitting investor sentiment as well as the financial market. The region is driven by strong domestic demand; however, the political deadlock created by the BREXIT referendum is likely to restrain growth. The Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland are fac...

In Q1 2016, economies of the emerging European countries grew at a stable rate supported by improved private consumption, especially in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland. Turkey’s growth is also supported by buoyant domestic demand, but the domestic political unrest has taken a heavy toll on the overall economy. Ukrainian economy might expe...

The Q2 2016 economic outlook for the emerging European economies shows mixed results. While domestic demand is driving the growth momentum in economies such as the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, limited EU funding is likely to restrain short term growth. Turkey is also gaining momentum, political and geopolitical risks notwithstanding. Ukrain...

The North American energy renaissance has taken a back seat in 2016 due to plunging oil prices. Canada is suffering from an economic downturn due to its heavy reliance on the oil and gas industry. The Chinese slowdown and a rising dollar will further create economic headwinds in Canada. Even though the United States stays resilient because of stron...

The Q1 2016 outlook for emerging Asia-Pacific countries is likely to remain bearish because of the slow export recovery. Indonesian and Thai economy might uptick slightly as infrastructure investment accelerates. Malaysian economic outlook for Q1 2016 is dim as it is still battling the conflict out of the imposition of Goods and Services Tax and ad...

The slowing Chinese economy has taken a toll on emerging Asia-Pacific economies. Indonesia’s reforms and robust FDI are helping it recuperate after a lackluster H1 2015. Vietnam’s strong FDI inflows and domestic market are contributing to impressive GDP growth. Malaysia and Thailand are likely to be affected by slow GDP growth and negative busi...

After a dismal Q1 and Q2, Indonesia is expected to continue experiencing slow growth even in Q3 2015. Devaluation of Yuan, an impending rise in interest rate in the US, and sluggish recovery of the US will weigh on the country’s GDP growth in Q3 2015. GDP growth might be little better in Q3, given the improved fiscal position after fuel subsidy a...

Strong economic growth supported by resilient domestic demand, growth in exports, accommodative government policies, and improved investor confidence is expected for the Emerging Asia Pacific economies in H1 2015.

Economic growth in the emerging APAC regions will be resilient through H2 2014 and the beginning of 2015. While favourable financial conditions, improving labour market conditions, and broadly accommodative policies will support domestic demand growth, global economic recovery and a stronger-than-expected recovery of the US economy will help boost ...