Economic Tracker

The outlook for the Central America and Caribbean economies is expected to stay bleak in 2020, registering technical recession in Q2–Q3 of 2020 and a full year recession for 2021. Local and global containment measures, along with the economies’ large dependence on tourism and remittances particularly coming from the United States, have led to a...

The Americas are expected to record tepid growth in 2020, higher than that of 2019. Advanced economies such as the US and Canada are likely to witness an economic rebound in 2020. Other smaller economies like Panama and Chile are poised to grow as well. However, Argentina’s growth is likely to remain contracted on account of currency deterioratio...

The economic outlook for Western Europe is expected to stay muted in 2020. The US-China trade wars, global economic slowdown, and the uncertainty surrounding Brexit have softened external demand, affecting export-based economies such as Germany. While unemployment rates have been low and stable across most of Western Europe, job growth has plateaue...

In Q2 2017, growth in Latin America slowed to 1.9% compared to the growth of 2.2% in Q1 2017, as manufacturing sector shrank by 0.5% and external demand declined. Colombia, Mexico, and Panama’s economic growth declined registering 1.2%, 2.2%, and 5.4% growth, respectively, in Q1 2017. However, Panama continues to remain the fastest growing econom...

Economic growth remained stable in Q3 2017 with the region recording growth of 1.9%. Chile and Colombia registered higher growth compared to Q2 2017, while Mexico and Panama’s growth slowed slightly. Decline in manufacturing and mining sector in Mexico had adversely affected the country’s economy which recorded 1.6% growth in Q3 2017. Mexicoâ€...

The Q3 2016 outlook for the emerging European economies shows volatility, shaken by the BREXIT vote hitting investor sentiment as well as the financial market. The region is driven by strong domestic demand; however, the political deadlock created by the BREXIT referendum is likely to restrain growth. The Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland are fac...

In Q1 2016, economies of the emerging European countries grew at a stable rate supported by improved private consumption, especially in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland. Turkey’s growth is also supported by buoyant domestic demand, but the domestic political unrest has taken a heavy toll on the overall economy. Ukrainian economy might expe...

The Q2 2016 economic outlook for the emerging European economies shows mixed results. While domestic demand is driving the growth momentum in economies such as the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, limited EU funding is likely to restrain short term growth. Turkey is also gaining momentum, political and geopolitical risks notwithstanding. Ukrain...

The North American energy renaissance has taken a back seat in 2016 due to plunging oil prices. Canada is suffering from an economic downturn due to its heavy reliance on the oil and gas industry. The Chinese slowdown and a rising dollar will further create economic headwinds in Canada. Even though the United States stays resilient because of stron...