Economic Tracker

The Q1 2016 outlook for emerging Asia-Pacific countries is likely to remain bearish because of the slow export recovery. Indonesian and Thai economy might uptick slightly as infrastructure investment accelerates. Malaysian economic outlook for Q1 2016 is dim as it is still battling the conflict out of the imposition of Goods and Services Tax and ad...

The slowing Chinese economy has taken a toll on emerging Asia-Pacific economies. Indonesia’s reforms and robust FDI are helping it recuperate after a lackluster H1 2015. Vietnam’s strong FDI inflows and domestic market are contributing to impressive GDP growth. Malaysia and Thailand are likely to be affected by slow GDP growth and negative busi...

After a dismal Q1 and Q2, Indonesia is expected to continue experiencing slow growth even in Q3 2015. Devaluation of Yuan, an impending rise in interest rate in the US, and sluggish recovery of the US will weigh on the country’s GDP growth in Q3 2015. GDP growth might be little better in Q3, given the improved fiscal position after fuel subsidy a...

Growth in BRICS economies is likely to remain subdued in Q4 2013 and early 2014 more due to internal weaknesses than external factors. Low consumption demand alongside public sector inefficiencies will hamper the economic growth of Brazil. Russia’s GDP growth is likely to stagnate and consumer price inflation will remain above the target level o...

Emerging APAC will experience restrained growth in the latter half of 2013 due to the persistent uncertainties in the global economy. However the trade balances are likely to improve owing to a gradual rise in the external demand. Rising private consumption demand will remain the main driver for the manufacturing growth in the region. The oil expor...

Australia, Argentina, Japan, and South Korea have been classified as Rest of World (RoW) countries in this study. Sluggish economic recovery, the ongoing economic slowdown in the European region, weakening internal demand, and slow industrial growth are the major areas of concern for RoW countries. Domestic demand is expected to play a critical rol...

In Australia, weak commodity prices, a strong Australian dollar and low business sentiment will dampen economic activity in H2 2013. Weak investment in mining and manufacturing is likely to keep the Australian economy sluggish. In Argentina, policy easing is expected to boost domestic demand conditions and help rebound the business confidence. Aggr...

Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa are expected to register a moderate growth in H2 2013 owing to restrained industrial growth, sluggish recovery in exports and lackluster domestic demand. The competitive advantage of low costs in the BRICS economies will also continue to decline with the rise in labor costs. Increase in interbank borro...