Macroeconomics

The emerging Asia-Pacific region will continue to benefit from weakening oil prices through H1 as most of countries in the region are net oil importers. However, poor economic performance by large Asian economies such as China and Japan is expected to pose headwinds to trade prospects in the emerging Asia-Pacific region. The region is expected to m...

Robust improvement in consumption demand, generous government support, and improvement in public sector spending on infrastructure are expected to register steady growth in the Middle East and Africa in 2015. However, pragmatic macroeconomic policies to stabilize the global oil price fluctuations at $50to $60 per barrel in 2015 are likely to remain...

Economic recovery of the Middle Eastern economies is anticipated to be weaker in H1 2014 because of the increase in regional security concerns, ongoing political unrest, weak economic policies, and sluggish recovery of the global economy. Fiscal and external deficits will remain major areas of concern, especially in countries most adversely affecte...

Advanced economies are getting stabilized; this provides a boost to the growth of the Emerging Middle East and African countries in H2 2014. Majority of Middle East and African economies are heavily commodity export dependent. The total value of goods exported by the region largely comprises commodities (with more than 50% share), making the count...

Middle East and African economies are expected to see an improved performance in third quarter of 2014, mainly backed by the growth in external demand from advanced countries and diversification into non-oil sectors. The improved scenario is likely to continue during the rest half of 2014; however ongoing geopolitical tensions and staggering oil pr...

BRICS countries are expected to end 2014 on a low note, owing to various domestic as well as external factors. Weak global recovery is taking a toll on the external demand of these countries, while high consumer prices are likely to hinder strong private consumption growth in the coming quarters. Investors’ sentiments remain uncertain in Q4 2014,...

After a subpar performance in 2014, BRICS’s GDP growth is likely to recover in 2015, albeit at a very slow rate. Supportive government policies are likely to boost consumer demand and investment gradually in the BRICS economies in H1 2015. Overall, the outlook for H1 2015 remains restrained but stable.

Compared to the previous year, economy in BRICS countries including Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa has shown downward trend in 2014. Except China and India, GDPs of the other emerging BRICS countries are likely to remain close to their 2013 levels. Despite huge opportunities, political instability, rising consumer prices, high unempl...

Strong economic growth supported by resilient domestic demand, growth in exports, accommodative government policies, and improved investor confidence is expected for the Emerging Asia Pacific economies in H1 2015.