Macroeconomics

Germany and the United Kingdom are gradually emerging from the ongoing Eurozone debt crisis and are expected to post moderate growth in H2 2013. However, despite positive indications, France, Italy and Spain are likely to experience either negative or flat economic growth in 2013. The European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain low interest rates to ...

Emerging Middle East and Africa (MEA) is one of the fastest developing regions, with economies showing relative resilience to the global economic downturn and strengthened performance expected in the short term. Within the MEA region there are divergent growth patterns in H2 2013. The political instability in Egypt has severely hampered growth pros...

Emerging Latin America's growth will remain moderate in Q4 2013 due to slow recovery in external demand. Private consumption demand will remain the main driver for growth in Q4 2013 and Q1 2014. Improvement in current account balances and currency values is unlikely in the short run. Foreign direct investment into the region is likely to remain sta...

Romania and Turkey are gaining momentum, projecting positive growth in H2 2013. Eastern Europe is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 2.2 percent in 2013, with the automotive sector being the key for growth. Hungary and Turkey have completed their debt repayments to the IMF, while Ukraine is in the process of completing it. The region is ...

France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and The United Kingdom have been classified as Western European countries in this study. It is assumed that the economy in this region may post a marginal recovery in H1 2014, following a prolonged economic uncertainty. At present, the business sentiment in France is low, due to a poor Purchasing Managers Index. The s...

Growth in BRICS economies is likely to remain subdued in Q4 2013 and early 2014 more due to internal weaknesses than external factors. Low consumption demand alongside public sector inefficiencies will hamper the economic growth of Brazil. Russia’s GDP growth is likely to stagnate and consumer price inflation will remain above the target level o...

The Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Turkey, and Ukraine have been classified as Emerging European countries. The expectations of favourable fiscal and monetary measures by the government in the Czech Republic and the impressive performance of the automotive and agricultural sectors in Hungary are expected to drive the growth in these coun...

Emerging APAC will experience restrained growth in the latter half of 2013 due to the persistent uncertainties in the global economy. However the trade balances are likely to improve owing to a gradual rise in the external demand. Rising private consumption demand will remain the main driver for the manufacturing growth in the region. The oil expor...

Australia, Argentina, Japan, and South Korea have been classified as Rest of World (RoW) countries in this study. Sluggish economic recovery, the ongoing economic slowdown in the European region, weakening internal demand, and slow industrial growth are the major areas of concern for RoW countries. Domestic demand is expected to play a critical rol...