Macroeconomics

The outlook for the Central America and Caribbean economies is expected to stay bleak in 2020, registering technical recession in Q2–Q3 of 2020 and a full year recession for 2021. Local and global containment measures, along with the economies’ large dependence on tourism and remittances particularly coming from the United States, have led to a...

Economies in Asia-Pacific are likely to experience sluggish growth in 2020 on account of the unexpected ramifications of the COVID-19 outbreak. Regional growth is likely to remain stunted in H1 2020 due to the outbreak, but expected to pick up in H2 2020 as the lockdowns and travel bans are expected to be lifted. Key economies like Australia and ...

The macroeconomic outlook for South Asia is expected to be relatively strong in 2019 on account of infrastructural development and investments. Nevertheless, the outlook doesn’t look great in terms of even higher growth as a result of a trade war between two economic giants, the United States and China, affecting the region. The growth pattern is...

The Americas are expected to record tepid growth in 2020, higher than that of 2019. Advanced economies such as the US and Canada are likely to witness an economic rebound in 2020. Other smaller economies like Panama and Chile are poised to grow as well. However, Argentina’s growth is likely to remain contracted on account of currency deterioratio...

The economic outlook for Western Europe is expected to stay muted in 2020. The US-China trade wars, global economic slowdown, and the uncertainty surrounding Brexit have softened external demand, affecting export-based economies such as Germany. While unemployment rates have been low and stable across most of Western Europe, job growth has plateaue...

Strong economic growth supported by resilient domestic demand, growth in exports, accommodative government policies, and improved investor confidence is expected for the Emerging Asia Pacific economies in H1 2015.

Economic growth in the emerging APAC regions will be resilient through H2 2014 and the beginning of 2015. While favourable financial conditions, improving labour market conditions, and broadly accommodative policies will support domestic demand growth, global economic recovery and a stronger-than-expected recovery of the US economy will help boost ...

Emerging European economies are gradually registering a positive economic growth, stemming from a sensible monetary policy from the European Central Bank. However, the reliance of the Ukrainian and Turkish economies on external financing, as a result of the ongoing critical period in these countries, has remained a major area of concern in 2014.

Strong GDP growth supported by resilient domestic demand, prudent fiscal policies, and improved business sentiments is expected for the North American countries in Q1 2015, regardless of the slowdown and uncertainty in the global economy