Macroeconomics

The Q1 2016 outlook for emerging Asia-Pacific countries is likely to remain bearish because of the slow export recovery. Indonesian and Thai economy might uptick slightly as infrastructure investment accelerates. Malaysian economic outlook for Q1 2016 is dim as it is still battling the conflict out of the imposition of Goods and Services Tax and ad...

The slowing Chinese economy has taken a toll on emerging Asia-Pacific economies. Indonesia’s reforms and robust FDI are helping it recuperate after a lackluster H1 2015. Vietnam’s strong FDI inflows and domestic market are contributing to impressive GDP growth. Malaysia and Thailand are likely to be affected by slow GDP growth and negative busi...

After a dismal Q1 and Q2, Indonesia is expected to continue experiencing slow growth even in Q3 2015. Devaluation of Yuan, an impending rise in interest rate in the US, and sluggish recovery of the US will weigh on the country’s GDP growth in Q3 2015. GDP growth might be little better in Q3, given the improved fiscal position after fuel subsidy a...

Strong economic growth supported by resilient domestic demand, growth in exports, accommodative government policies, and improved investor confidence is expected for the Emerging Asia Pacific economies in H1 2015.

Economic growth in the emerging APAC regions will be resilient through H2 2014 and the beginning of 2015. While favourable financial conditions, improving labour market conditions, and broadly accommodative policies will support domestic demand growth, global economic recovery and a stronger-than-expected recovery of the US economy will help boost ...

Emerging European economies are gradually registering a positive economic growth, stemming from a sensible monetary policy from the European Central Bank. However, the reliance of the Ukrainian and Turkish economies on external financing, as a result of the ongoing critical period in these countries, has remained a major area of concern in 2014.

Strong GDP growth supported by resilient domestic demand, prudent fiscal policies, and improved business sentiments is expected for the North American countries in Q1 2015, regardless of the slowdown and uncertainty in the global economy

The growth outlook for the emerging APAC region for H2 2014 remains strong despite weaker growth in Q1 2014. Growth in the region picked up in Q2 2014, primarily driven by stronger export demand from the advanced economies and improved financial conditions that helped strengthen the domestic demand. While relatively low interest rates in the region...

Western European countries are experiencing a slowdown in economic growth, but the trend is uneven across the region. Purchasing Manager’s Index gave a reading of 52.1 in October 2014 (a reading above 50 signifies an expansion in output). Although major economies such as Spain and Germany reported an increase in new business opportunities, others...