Macroeconomics

Economic outlook for the West European countries, like Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, is expected to remain downbeat throughout 2019 due to weak business sentiment arising out of Brexit issues and slow global economic recovery. Domestic demand and consumer sentiments supported by low inflation and st...

In Q3 2018, regional growth in the Western Europe region remained stagnated at 1.6% with growth expected to remain low during the forecast period predominantly due to uncertainties arising out of the Brexit issues and slow growth outlook in emerging markets. Economic growth in Germany appears to have touched a near-zero situation in Q4 2018 and is ...

The growth outlook for the economies in the Eastern Europe and The Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) remains moderate. While the economic growth in the Eastern European countries such as The Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland is gaining momentum, Turkey is expected to plunge into a near-zero growth situation by the end of Q4 2018. Czech eco...

Economic recovery in Saudi Arabia will continue to be supported by pick up in oil production to compensative for output decline in Iran. While Aramco privatization is delayed, Saudi aims to generate $11 billion non-oil revenue through privatization program by 2020. The killing of journalist Khashoggi heightened capital flight in October 2018, as th...

Economies of the Middle Eastern countries will remain modest due to higher oil exporting revenue being moderately offset by recession in Iran. Higher oil prices are expected to drive oil and gas and hydrocarbon sector in the region, with Saudi Arabia leading the pack in 2019. OPEC oil production dipped in November 2018 due to fall in Iranian produc...

Economies of the Eastern European countries are gaining strength, being predominantly backed by domestic demand. The GDP is expected to increase by 2.84% in Q2 2018 compared to what it was a year ago, and by 3.0% by the end of 2018. The region is benefiting from upbeat labor markets and strong inflow of European structural funds. Growth in the Cze...

With Brexit day fast approaching, this study examines the implications of Brexit for the UK economy and UK businesses. Key topics covered include transition period impact, UK-EU post-Brexit relationship scenarios, scenario-based macroeconomic outlook, and scenario-based industry outlook for the automotive and financial services industries. Brexit ...

Economies of the Emerging Europe are growing on a strong footing. The GDP is expected to increase by 3.42% in Q1 2018 from Q1 2017, and by 3.6% by end of 2018. The region is benefiting from buoyant labor markets and strong inflow of European structural funds apart from strong export demand from the Eurozone economy. The Czech economy grew by 4.7% ...

Strong growth is expected to continue in Emerging Europe in 2018, driven by robust private demand and a dynamic external sector. In the Czech Republic, increase in wages is driving private consumption. Following the removal of the exchange rate floor in April 2017, value of the Czech currency koruna is likely to strengthen further in 2018. Hungaria...