Macroeconomics

Indonesia is the most populous nation in Southeast Asia with an estimated population of 262 million in 2017. The Indonesian economy, measured in terms of GDP, is the largest in SEA as of 2017. Indonesia’s GDP annual growth stood at 8.4% for 2017 growing from $932.45 billion in 2016 to $1,010.94 billion in 2017. Indonesia’s GDP per capita at cur...

Economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region slumped from 5.2% in Q4 2017 to 5.0% in Q1 2018, as the escalation of the trade war between China and the United States had repercussions for global trade growth. China’s growth is likely to slump further from the 6.2% registered in Q2 2018, as manufacturing output started declining in Q2 2018. Australia...

The growth outlook for the economies in the Eastern Europe and The Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) remains moderate. While the economic growth in the Eastern European countries such as The Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland is gaining momentum, Turkey is expected to plunge into a near-zero growth situation by the end of Q4 2018. Czech eco...

In Q3 2018, regional growth in the Asia-Pacific region remained stagnated at 4.6% with growth expected to remain low during the forecast period. In Australia, GDP growth increased from 2.4% in 2017 to 2.9% in 2018, largely due to increase in business investment and private consumption. Sri Lanka is expected to register 2.9% in Q3 2018, slower than ...

Economic recovery in Saudi Arabia will continue to be supported by pick up in oil production to compensative for output decline in Iran. While Aramco privatization is delayed, Saudi aims to generate $11 billion non-oil revenue through privatization program by 2020. The killing of journalist Khashoggi heightened capital flight in October 2018, as th...

Economies of the Middle Eastern countries will remain modest due to higher oil exporting revenue being moderately offset by recession in Iran. Higher oil prices are expected to drive oil and gas and hydrocarbon sector in the region, with Saudi Arabia leading the pack in 2019. OPEC oil production dipped in November 2018 due to fall in Iranian produc...

Innovations in logistics are aplenty with APAC fueling a lot of this activity from its home ground. From self-running trucks to automated contracts, the supply chain is ripe for innovation and homegrown APAC start-ups are plowing the way. The market is seeing the rise of these new breed of participants along key future themes, including artificial ...

Economies of the Eastern European countries are gaining strength, being predominantly backed by domestic demand. The GDP is expected to increase by 2.84% in Q2 2018 compared to what it was a year ago, and by 3.0% by the end of 2018. The region is benefiting from upbeat labor markets and strong inflow of European structural funds. Growth in the Cze...

With Brexit day fast approaching, this study examines the implications of Brexit for the UK economy and UK businesses. Key topics covered include transition period impact, UK-EU post-Brexit relationship scenarios, scenario-based macroeconomic outlook, and scenario-based industry outlook for the automotive and financial services industries. Brexit ...