Macroeconomics

Advanced economies are getting stabilized; this provides a boost to the growth of the Emerging Middle East and African countries in H2 2014. Majority of Middle East and African economies are heavily commodity export dependent. The total value of goods exported by the region largely comprises commodities (with more than 50% share), making the count...

Middle East and African economies are expected to see an improved performance in third quarter of 2014, mainly backed by the growth in external demand from advanced countries and diversification into non-oil sectors. The improved scenario is likely to continue during the rest half of 2014; however ongoing geopolitical tensions and staggering oil pr...

The growth prospects of the economies in emerging Asia-Pacific are expected to be affected significantly by the uncertainties arising from the economic slowdown of major Asian superpowers such as China and Japan, and the Eurozone. However, certain positive factors such as declining oil prices, a rebounding US economy, with US being a key exports m...

Apart from India which appears to be on an upward growth trajectory, the growth outlook for BRICS countries remains subdued. Russia is expected to continue to reel under the pressures of Western sanctions and falling crude oil prices, and no growth is expected in 2015. China’s housing market is expected to continue to remain weak in 2015 after a ...

BRICS countries are expected to end 2014 on a low note, owing to various domestic as well as external factors. Weak global recovery is taking a toll on the external demand of these countries, while high consumer prices are likely to hinder strong private consumption growth in the coming quarters. Investors’ sentiments remain uncertain in Q4 2014,...

After a subpar performance in 2014, BRICS’s GDP growth is likely to recover in 2015, albeit at a very slow rate. Supportive government policies are likely to boost consumer demand and investment gradually in the BRICS economies in H1 2015. Overall, the outlook for H1 2015 remains restrained but stable.

Compared to the previous year, economy in BRICS countries including Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa has shown downward trend in 2014. Except China and India, GDPs of the other emerging BRICS countries are likely to remain close to their 2013 levels. Despite huge opportunities, political instability, rising consumer prices, high unempl...

Strong economic growth supported by resilient domestic demand, growth in exports, accommodative government policies, and improved investor confidence is expected for the Emerging Asia Pacific economies in H1 2015.

Economic growth in the emerging APAC regions will be resilient through H2 2014 and the beginning of 2015. While favourable financial conditions, improving labour market conditions, and broadly accommodative policies will support domestic demand growth, global economic recovery and a stronger-than-expected recovery of the US economy will help boost ...