Macroeconomics

BRICS countries are expected to end 2014 on a low note, owing to various domestic as well as external factors. Weak global recovery is taking a toll on the external demand of these countries, while high consumer prices are likely to hinder strong private consumption growth in the coming quarters. Investors’ sentiments remain uncertain in Q4 2014,...

Despite slowdown, BRICS economies are likely to drive global growth in 2015, with India and China witnessing 2–3% higher growth than the global average of 3.5%. Lower oil prices will continue to support steady consumption growth in oil importing countries such as India, China, and South Africa. However, Russia and Brazil are likely to suffer from...

Robust improvement in consumption demand, generous government support, and improvement in public sector spending on infrastructure are expected to register steady growth in the Middle East and Africa in 2015. However, pragmatic macroeconomic policies to stabilize the global oil price fluctuations at $50to $60 per barrel in 2015 are likely to remain...

Economic recovery of the Middle Eastern economies is anticipated to be weaker in H1 2014 because of the increase in regional security concerns, ongoing political unrest, weak economic policies, and sluggish recovery of the global economy. Fiscal and external deficits will remain major areas of concern, especially in countries most adversely affecte...

Advanced economies are getting stabilized; this provides a boost to the growth of the Emerging Middle East and African countries in H2 2014. Majority of Middle East and African economies are heavily commodity export dependent. The total value of goods exported by the region largely comprises commodities (with more than 50% share), making the count...

Middle East and African economies are expected to see an improved performance in third quarter of 2014, mainly backed by the growth in external demand from advanced countries and diversification into non-oil sectors. The improved scenario is likely to continue during the rest half of 2014; however ongoing geopolitical tensions and staggering oil pr...

Emerging Europe is expected to see a subdued growth of about 2% in H1 2015 due to lower investor confidence and uncertainty associated with the Greek and Ukraine crises. European Central Bank’s monetary stimulus from March 2015 is expected to reduce deflation and the proposed European Union investment plan is likely to improve investments in key...

Growth in Western European economies is expected to recover gradually in 2015 as compared to 2014, mainly owing to the European Central Bank’s trillion-Euro monetary stimulus. Moreover, depreciation of Euro is expected to provide the much needed boost to the exports of the region in 2015. The uncertainty around the ongoing crisis in Greece is ant...

Western Europe is likely to see improved growth in 2015 when compared to previous years. Increasing external demand, due to the strong growth in the United States and Asia, and strong domestic demand, are likely to steer the manufacturing sector towards a positive growth trajectory. Despite exports continuing to remain the primary engine of growth ...