Macroeconomics

The outlook for the Central America and Caribbean economies is expected to stay bleak in 2020, registering technical recession in Q2–Q3 of 2020 and a full year recession for 2021. Local and global containment measures, along with the economies’ large dependence on tourism and remittances particularly coming from the United States, have led to a...

The Americas are expected to record tepid growth in 2020, higher than that of 2019. Advanced economies such as the US and Canada are likely to witness an economic rebound in 2020. Other smaller economies like Panama and Chile are poised to grow as well. However, Argentina’s growth is likely to remain contracted on account of currency deterioratio...

The economic outlook for Western Europe is expected to stay muted in 2020. The US-China trade wars, global economic slowdown, and the uncertainty surrounding Brexit have softened external demand, affecting export-based economies such as Germany. While unemployment rates have been low and stable across most of Western Europe, job growth has plateaue...

The economies of Eastern European countries have had a slow 2019, with stalling or contracting growth in certain economies. The global economic slump, ongoing trade wars, the weak German economy, and Brexit have discouraged external demand. Internal demand, due to low inflation, wage growth, and tight labor markets, has been able to sustain the pro...

The US is witnessing some major trade policy shifts that are having a significant impact on the US and the global economy. The results of the upcoming 2020 Presidential elections and policies thereafter also stand to significantly influence the growth trajectory of the US economy. In the light of these anticipated events, research on this topic has...

Economic growth in the Americas is expected to slow down in H1 2019. The region continues to see low private and public sector investment. Poor infrastructure, in addition to shortcomings in the education system, contributes to low productivity and weak external competitiveness. Panama and Chile are expected to see the highest growth at 4.8% and 3....

The pace of growth in the Americas is expected to slow down in the coming quarters. The weakening global economy and an anticipated slowdown in the US economy are expected to affect economic growth in the region. While the US economy expanded with a high growth rate of 3.2% and 2.5% in Q1 and Q2 2019, the economy is expected to slow down in the com...

Economic outlook for the West European countries, like Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, is expected to remain downbeat throughout 2019 due to weak business sentiment arising out of Brexit issues and slow global economic recovery. Domestic demand and consumer sentiments supported by low inflation and st...

In Q3 2018, regional growth in the Western Europe region remained stagnated at 1.6% with growth expected to remain low during the forecast period predominantly due to uncertainties arising out of the Brexit issues and slow growth outlook in emerging markets. Economic growth in Germany appears to have touched a near-zero situation in Q4 2018 and is ...