Macroeconomics

Strong economic growth supported by resilient domestic demand, growth in exports, accommodative government policies, and improved investor confidence is expected for the Emerging Asia Pacific economies in H1 2015.

Economic growth in the emerging APAC regions will be resilient through H2 2014 and the beginning of 2015. While favourable financial conditions, improving labour market conditions, and broadly accommodative policies will support domestic demand growth, global economic recovery and a stronger-than-expected recovery of the US economy will help boost ...

Strong GDP growth supported by resilient domestic demand, prudent fiscal policies, and improved business sentiments is expected for the North American countries in Q1 2015, regardless of the slowdown and uncertainty in the global economy

The growth outlook for the emerging APAC region for H2 2014 remains strong despite weaker growth in Q1 2014. Growth in the region picked up in Q2 2014, primarily driven by stronger export demand from the advanced economies and improved financial conditions that helped strengthen the domestic demand. While relatively low interest rates in the region...

North American growth continued to accelerate in Q3 2014 following the strong Q2 performance. The energy sector boom, resulting in low fuel-prices and strong public-sector spending—despite modest consumer spending growth, supported strong economic expansion of the region in Q3 2014. The rise in real wages and dwindling unemployment will keep cons...

North American countries had outperformed expectations in H1 2014. GDPs of the United States and Canada will continue to grow at an average rate of 2 to 2.5 percent in the latter half of 2014. Improved regional trade, strong industrial performance, and higher consumer spending are likely to boost economic growth of the region in the short run. Falt...

Despite slow economic expansion in the advanced economies in the first quarter of 2014, emerging Asian economies are expected to record moderate to robust growth rate throughout 2014, primarily driven by improved domestic demand conditions, higher foreign direct investment growth, and investment in infrastructure. Relatively stable oil prices and d...

BRICS economies witnessed a massive slowdown in early 2014 owing to various domestic instabilities and are unlikely to return to pre-financial crisis growth levels in the near future. From a short-term perspective, the sluggish recovery in the US and in the Eurozone, production slowdowns in China, political conflicts in Russia, deteriorated busines...

Economies of the Rest of World (RoW) countries are expected to grow moderately in H2 2014 as they gradually revive from the global economic slowdown. In Australia, investments in non-mining sectors are low and there are signs of contraction. A modest growth in manufacturing is expected to drive growth marginally in Argentina. An improved business ...