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Life Cycle and TCO Analysis of Class-8 Trucks in North America, 2018–2032
Life Cycle and TCO Analysis of Class-8 Trucks in North America, 2018–2032
TCO Over a 15-year Diesel Truck Life Cycle is Estimated to be ~$2.28 Million
23-Aug-2019
North America
Market Research
Description
Frost & Sullivan's research service on the Life Cycle and Total Cost of Ownership analysis of class-8 trucks in North America forecasts a class-8 truck's total cost of ownership over a 15-year period. It analyzes the key total cost of ownership through measures, such as driver wages and benefits, fuel, truck payments, repair and maintenance, insurance, tolls and permits, and tire replacement. Each measure of the total cost of ownership is derived from a miles-driven perspective in addition to the vehicle’s cost over the life cycle period. The study also compares the total cost of ownership model between financing and leasing a class-8 truck over a 15-year period, providing a breakdown of the pros and cons of each option. Furthermore, the study offers a future outlook toward the total cost of ownership, comparing model year 2018 trucks to model year 2027 trucks. Finally, the study provides an in-depth look into the viability of alternative fueled class 8 trucks, including electric and natural gas to diesel trucks. It will provide an understanding of payload differences, fuel economy, and repair and maintenance intervals between the three different truck types. It concludes with a breakeven-scenario forecast that will help the readership understand the viability of an electric truck and natural gas truck to a competing diesel truck in long-haul applications.
A semi-truck commonly goes through 3 phases in its life cycle. The 1st owner is typically a fleet that drives an average of ~480,000 miles. The 2nd life owner is the owner-operator or small-sized fleet that drives an average of ~640,000 miles. Finally, the 3rd life owner is the owner-operator that drives ~ 400,000 miles. ‘Driver wages and benefits’ is the highest operating expense for truckers in 2018, accounting for ~44% of the total cost of ownership. This expense is expected to continue rising due to the worsening driver shortage issue. The TCO for a 15-year life cycle financed truck is ~$2.28 million and a cost per mile of ~$1.50. Comparatively, the TCO of a consumer who leases a truck in 4-year intervals over a 15-year period is ~$2.30 million and a CPM of ~$1.53 CPM. Financing remains the primary choice of ownership, accounting for ~68% of purchases. Leasing is gaining traction in the market with 32% as consumers who lease and want to take advantage of factors such as shorter equipment life cycles, lower maintenance costs (under warranty), and funding stability Frost & Sullivan research indicates that leasing can be a realistic alternative to financing under the right circumstances, including fleet operations and capital.
Author: Wallace Lau
RESEARCH: INFOGRAPHIC
This infographic presents a brief overview of the research, and highlights the key topics discussed in it.Click image to view it in full size
Table of Contents
Total Cost of Operation Summary
Average Semi-truck Total Cost of Operation Fleet Breakdown
Average Financed Truck TCO—One Owner
Average Truck Life Cycle Total Cost of Operation—Multiple Owners
Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck TCO Comparison
Total Cost of Ownership Comparison—2018 and 2027
Summary of Key Findings
Future Outlook on Trends Affecting TCO
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Key Questions This Study Will Answer
Average Semi-truck Life Cycle and Residual Value
Average Fuel Cost Over the Life Cycle of a Truck
Key Repair & Maintenance Intervals
Average Repair & Maintenance Cost Over the Life Cycle of a Truck
Average Insurance, Permit, Tolls, and Tire Cost
Average Driver Wages & Benefits Cost
Customer Payment Benchmark—Leasing and Financing
Customer Payment Benchmark—Leasing and Financing (continued)
Average Financed Truck TCO—One Owner
Average Truck Life Cycle Total Cost of Operation—Multiple Owners
Average Leased Truck TCO—15 Year Period
Total Cost of Ownership Comparison—2018 and 2027
Acquisition Cost of Diesel Trucks
Average Semi-truck Fuel Cost by Model Year
Average Repair & Maintenance Cost by Truck Model Year
Key Application Segments for Electric and Natural Gas Trucks
Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck Weight Benchmark
Natural Gas Truck Price, Fuel, and R&M Breakdown
Electric Truck Price Breakdown
Key Repair & Maintenance Intervals for Electric Trucks
Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck TCO Comparison
Electric Truck—Frost & Sullivan Perspective
Truck Purchase—Focus Area of Key Stakeholders
OEM Market Position Mapping
Comparative Benchmarking—OEM Captive Services
OEM Competitive Benchmarking—Total Cost of Ownership
Growth Opportunity 1—OEM Total Cost of Ownership Solutions
Growth Opportunity 2—Connectivity Solutions
Growth Opportunity 3—Green Technologies
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
Key Conclusions
Legal Disclaimer
Market Engineering Methodology
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
Popular Topics
Deliverable Types | Market Research |
---|---|
No Index | No |
Podcast | No |
Author | Wallace Lau |
Industries | Automotive |
WIP Number | K384-01-00-00-00 |
Is Prebook | No |
GPS Codes | 9800-A6,9813-A6,9B01-A6,9963-A6,9AF6-A6 |