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Truck OEM Strategies for GHG/CO2 Regulation Compliance, 2020-2030
Truck OEM Strategies for GHG/CO2 Regulation Compliance, 2020-2030
Propulsion Alternatives to Diesel will Emerge in the Medium Term (2024-2027); the Outlook for Aerodynamics and Advanced Diesel Combustion Technologies is Strong
RELEASE DATE
08-Mar-2021
08-Mar-2021
REGION
North America
North America
Deliverable Type
Mega Trends
Mega Trends
Research Code: K3C6-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU02138-NA-MT_25286
$4,950.00
In stock
SKU
AU02138-NA-MT_25286
Description
Greenhouse gas/fuel efficiency regulations in TRIAD countries and increasingly stringent tailpipe emission standards in developing countries will shape OEM powertrain strategies over the next decade. This Frost & Sullivan research service provides an overview of key future fuel efficiency and tailpipe emission regulations across different regions for heavy-duty commercial vehicles. At present, North America is adopting GHG regulations, after which it will focus on ultra NOx regulations (medium term). Europe has developed a tool for CO2 monitoring and will soon implement GHG regulations. India planned to make the shift from BS IV to BS VI (equivalent to the Euro VI) by 2020; the country’s fuel efficiency regulations have been in place since 2018. China will shift to China VI in 2 phases—2020 and 2023; Phase 3 fuel efficiency regulations will be implemented in 2023.
These regulations will augment the penetration of advanced aerodynamics, low rolling resistance tires, auxiliary electrification, lightweighting, and advanced diesel engine technologies such as advanced turbochargers, automated manual transmission, advanced aftertreatment systems, and electrification.
Stringent emission regulations and government incentives are encouraging industry participants to explore advanced ICE engine concepts, energy recovery systems, and auxiliary electrification, including APU for operation on HVAC during vehicle standstill. The decoupling of auxiliary loads such as pumps for fuel injection and power steering, engine oil circulation, and air conditioning can reduce fuel consumption.
Energy recovery systems include waste heat recovery systems based on organic Rankine cycles and regenerative braking systems in hybrid vehicles with the potential to improve the efficiency of diesel engines. Advanced combustion strategies combined with high-efficiency transmission, advanced aerodynamics, advanced driver assistance systems, auxiliary electrification, and low rolling resistance tires will also improve fuel efficiency.
North American OEMs have commercialized most technological advancements from the SuperTruck I program, and a strong push for electrification across major OEMs and EV start-ups is being observed. Horizon 2020, the EU’s Research and Innovation program, allocates funds for green transport technologies. European OEMs are shifting to vertically integrated engines and transmission with proprietary turbochargers, and these facilitate precise control over vehicle drivetrain. As part of powertrain diversification, OEMs are focusing on proprietary natural gas engines and EV platforms. Chinese OEMs are leveraging technology partnerships with European OEMs and engine research institutes to upgrade diesel engines to meet upcoming regulations. The transition from low-cost to value and premium trucks will drive technology changes. In addition, government incentives are driving rapid progress in electrification across different Chinese OEMs. Indian OEMs are adopting a two-pronged approach by improving in-house engine platforms and sourcing advanced diesel engine technologies from Tier I engine suppliers, Japanese OEMs, and European engine research institutes.
Author: Saideep Sudhakar
RESEARCH: INFOGRAPHIC
This infographic presents a brief overview of the research, and highlights the key topics discussed in it.Click image to view it in full size
Table of Contents
Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8™
The Impact of the Top Three Strategic Imperatives on the Commercial Trucks Industry
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
Truck OEM Strategies for GHG/CO2 Regulation Compliance—Scope of Analysis
Research Background, Commercial Trucks Industry
Research Methodology, Commercial Trucks Industry
Commercial Trucks—Market Segmentation
Definitions of Key Technologies
Definitions of Key Technologies (continued)
Technology Definitions—Tires
Technology Definitions—Transmission, Axles, Lightweighting, and Road Profile Management
Technology Definitions—Aerodynamics
Key Takeaways
Key Trends in the Diesel Powertrain Market
GHG/Fuel Economy Regulations Outlook
Global Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment by Region and Powertrain Snapshot
Global Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment by Powertrain Snapshot
Technology Penetration by Region—Rigid Trucks Segment
Technology Penetration by Region—Tractor Trucks Segment
Key OEM Fuel Efficiency Strategies
Regulatory Environment—North America
GHG and Fuel Economy Standards—North America
US Phase 1 and Phase 2 Standards—Combination Tractors
US Phase 1 and Phase 2 Standards—Vocational Vehicles
California Air Resources Board (CARB)’s Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Regulation
MD and HD ZEV Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)
NA Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment Snapshot
Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis, North American HD Trucks
Technology Penetration—Rigid Trucks: North America
Technology Penetration—Tractor Trucks: North America
OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers—North America
Regulatory Environment—Europe
Europe GHG Policy—Summary
Europe GHG Policy—Vehicle Segment Scope
European Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment Snapshot
Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis, European HD Trucks
Technology Penetration—Rigid Trucks: Europe
Technology Penetration—Tractor Trucks: Europe
OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers—Europe
Regulatory Environment—China
China’s Fuel Efficiency Standards
Chinese Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment Snapshot
Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis, Chinese HD Trucks
Technology Penetration—Rigid Trucks: China
Technology Penetration—Tractor Trucks: China
OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers—China
Regulatory Environment—India
Fuel Consumption Standards—India
India Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment Snapshot
Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis, Indian HD Trucks
Technology Penetration—Rigid Trucks: India
Technology Penetration—Tractor Trucks: India
OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers—India
Technology Fuel Consumption Reduction Potential—Class 8 Long-Haul Trucks
CO2 Reduction Potential for Long-Haul Trucks—Engine Technology
CO2 Reduction Potential for Long-Haul Trucks—Transmission, Axles, and Auxiliaries
CO2 Reduction Potential for Long-Haul Trucks—Aerodynamics and Tires
Technology Fuel Consumption Reduction Potential—Class 8 Vocational Trucks
CO2 Reduction Potential for Vocational Trucks—Engine Technology
CO2 Reduction Potential for Vocational Trucks—Transmission, Tires, and Auxiliaries
Technology Fuel Consumption Reduction Potential—Urban Delivery Trucks
CO2 Reduction Potential for Urban Delivery Trucks—Engine Technology
CO2 Reduction Potential for Urban Delivery Trucks—Transmission, Tires, and Auxiliaries
Volvo Powertrain Technology Outlook
Volvo Vehicle Technology Outlook
Daimler Powertrain Technology Outlook
Daimler Vehicle Technology Outlook
PACCAR Powertrain Technology Outlook
PACCAR Vehicle Technology Outlook
Navistar Powertrain Technology Outlook
Navistar Vehicle Technology Outlook
MAN SE Powertrain Technology Outlook
MAN SE Vehicle Technology Outlook
Scania Powertrain Technology Outlook
Scania Vehicle Technology Outlook
IVECO Powertrain Technology Outlook
IVECO Vehicle Technology Outlook
ASHOK LEYLAND Powertrain Technology Outlook
ASHOK LEYLAND Vehicle Technology Outlook
Tata Motors’ Powertrain Technology Outlook
Tata Motors’ Vehicle Technology Outlook
Hino Motors’ Powertrain Technology Outlook
Hino Motors’ Vehicle Technology Outlook
ISUZU’s Powertrain Technology Outlook
ISUZU’s Vehicle Technology Outlook
Growth Opportunity 1—Advanced Aerodynamics, Auxiliary Electrification, and Improved Thermal Efficiency for Diesel Engines will be Priorities for Diesel Engine Truck Manufacturers
Growth Opportunity 1—Advanced Aerodynamics, Auxiliary Electrification, and Improved Thermal Efficiency for Diesel Engines will be Priorities for Diesel Engine Truck Manufacturers (continued)
Partial List of Acronyms Used in the Study
Partial List of Acronyms Used in the Study (continued)
Your Next Steps
Why Frost, Why Now?
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
Legal Disclaimer
Popular Topics
Greenhouse gas/fuel efficiency regulations in TRIAD countries and increasingly stringent tailpipe emission standards in developing countries will shape OEM powertrain strategies over the next decade. This Frost & Sullivan research service provides an overview of key future fuel efficiency and tailpipe emission regulations across different regions for heavy-duty commercial vehicles. At present, North America is adopting GHG regulations, after which it will focus on ultra NOx regulations (medium term). Europe has developed a tool for CO2 monitoring and will soon implement GHG regulations. India planned to make the shift from BS IV to BS VI (equivalent to the Euro VI) by 2020; the countrys fuel efficiency regulations have been in place since 2018. China will shift to China VI in 2 phases—2020 and 2023; Phase 3 fuel efficiency regulations will be implemented in 2023.
These regulations will augment the penetration of advanced aerodynamics, low rolling resistance tires, auxiliary electrification, lightweighting, and advanced diesel engine technologies such as advanced turbochargers, automated manual transmission, advanced aftertreatment systems, and electrification.
Stringent emission regulations and government incentives are encouraging industry participants to explore advanced ICE engine concepts, energy recovery systems, and auxiliary electrification, including APU for operation on HVAC during vehicle standstill. The decoupling of auxiliary loads such as pumps for fuel injection and power steering, engine oil circulation, and air conditioning can reduce fuel consumption.
Energy recovery systems include waste heat recovery systems based on organic Rankine cycles and regenerative braking systems in hybrid vehicles with the potential to improve the efficiency of diesel engines. Advanced combustion strategies combined with high-efficiency transmission, advanced aerodynamics, advanced driver assistance systems, auxiliary electrification, and low rolling resistance tires will also improve fuel efficiency.
North American OEMs have commercialized most technological advancements from the SuperTruck I program, and a strong push for electrification across major OEMs and EV start-ups is being observed. Horizon 2020, the EUs Research and Innovation program, allocates funds for green transport technologies. European OEMs are shifting to vertically integrated engines and transmission with proprietary turbochargers, and these facilitate precise control over vehicle drivetrain. As part of powertrain diversification, OEMs are focusing on proprietary natural gas engines and EV platforms. Chinese OEMs are leveraging technology partnerships with European OEMs and engine research institutes to upgrade diesel engines to meet upcoming regulations. The transition from low-cost to value and premium trucks will drive technology changes. In addition, government incentives are driving rapid progress in electrification across different Chinese OEMs. Indian OEMs are adopting a two-pronged approach by improving in-house engine platforms and sourcing advanced diesel engine technologies from Tier I engine suppliers, Japanese OEMs, and European engine research institutes.
Author: Saideep Sudhakar
| Deliverable Types | Mega Trends |
|---|---|
| No Index | No |
| Podcast | No |
| Author | Saideep Sudhakar |
| Industries | Automotive |
| WIP Number | K3C6-01-00-00-00 |
| Is Prebook | No |
| GPS Codes | 9673-A6,9800-A6,9807-A6,9813-A6,9B01-A6,9963-A6,9882-A6 |