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US-China Trade War—Global and Regional Impacts, Forecast to 2024
US-China Trade War—Global and Regional Impacts, Forecast to 2024
It is Predicted that the United States and China will Reach a Partial Deal Before the 2020 US Presidential Election
30-Sep-2019
Asia Pacific
Description
China’s swift economic growth and plans such as “Made in China 2025” have raised its competition with the United States. This situation has led to the US-China trade war with the United States imposing trade tariffs on Chinese products and China retaliating by imposing tariffs on US products. The trade war is slowing down the global economic and trade growth, increasing global policy uncertainty and shifting the global supply chain. The question here is how this ongoing trade war will affect the global and regional (Southeast Asia or SEA) economic growth? What will be the future of global trade?
With the onset of the trade war, the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies, do not import each other’s products as much as they used to before. As a result, their importations from other countries have increased substantially. These import substitutions have benefited other economies, especially those in SEA and Latin America. Questions here are how has the US-China trade war affected the economic and trade growth of SEA countries? Did it change their import and export patterns from the United States and China?
Companies in China, especially the tech giants, have either relocated or are considering relocation to other regions, particularly SEA, due to the ongoing trade war. These companies do not see any end to the trade war in the near future and have already lowered their earnings guidance. This has led to further questions: Which country is absorbing the flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) from China? What are the reasons behind it except skipping the US tariffs on Chinese products? The raise in the global uncertainty as a result of the US-China trade war and other events such as Brexit and the upcoming 2020 US presidential election has made investment decisions difficult for companies. Key questions here are what are the risk factors arising from the trade war, and how to manage these risks?
This research study is a comprehensive guideline of the US-China trade war for investors and decision makers. In addition to providing a timeline of the trade war highlighting and explaining the main events leading to the current dispute and explaining how this trade war began, this study answers all of the above-mentioned questions and also others—Will the United States and China compromise for the sake of higher efficiency? Are negotiations going to fail?—regarding the future of the trade war and if it is going to end anytime soon.
Key Issues Addressed
- How the ongoing trade war will affect the global and regional (SEA) economic growth?
- What will be the future of global trade?
- Did the trade war change SEA imports and exports patterns from the United States and China?
- What are the risk factors arising from this trade war? How to manage these risks?
- What will be the future of the US-China trade war?
Table of Contents
Key Findings
Impact of Trade War
CEO’s Perspective
Market Definitions
Global GDP—Share of the United States, China and SEA
GDP Per Capita—United States, China and East Asia & Pacific
Economic Growth—Global, United States and China
Timeline—Battles 1 and 2
Timeline—Battle 2
Timeline—Battle 3
Timeline—Battle 3 (continued)
Battle 1 Explained
Battle 2 Explained
Battle 2 Explained (continued)
Battle 3 Explained
Battle 3 Explained (continued)
Made in China 2025—The Plan
Made in China 2025—The Consequences
Made in China 2025—The Consequences (continued)
Made in China 2025—The Consequences (continued)
Global Economic Impact—Economic Growth
Global Economic Impact—Trade
Global Economic Impact—Trade (continued)
Global Economic Impact—Exports
Global Economic Impact—Imports
Global Economic Impact—US’s Import Substitutions
Global Economic Impact—China’s Import Substitutions
Global Economic Impact—Policy Uncertainty
Global Economic Impact—Policy Uncertainty (continued)
Regional Impact—Economic Growth
Regional Impact—Exports to the United States
Regional Impact—Exports to China
Regional Impact—Imports from the United States
Regional Impact—Imports from China
Most Affected Industries—Technology
Most Affected Industries—Technology (continued)
Most Affected Industries—Technology (continued)
Most Affected Industries—Agriculture
Most Affected Industries—Solar Panel
US-China Trade War—Winners and Losers
United States—Winner or Loser?
United States—Winner or Loser? (continued)
The Case of Huawei
The Case of Huawei (continued)
Chinese Companies Are Relocating
Chinese Companies Are Relocating (continued)
Chinese Companies Are Relocating (continued)
Risk Factors Arising from the Trade War
Risk Factors Arising from the Trade War (continued)
How to Manage Risks Arising from this Conflict?
How to Manage Risks Arising from this Conflict? (continued)
Future of the US-China Trade War
Future of the US-China Trade War (continued)
Future of the US-China Trade War (continued)
Growth Opportunity 1—Investments Opportunities
Growth Opportunity 2—Geographical Expansion
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
Concluding Remarks
Legal Disclaimer
Key Source Documents
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
The Frost & Sullivan Story
Value Proposition—Future of Your Company & Career
Global Perspective
Industry Convergence
360º Research Perspective
Implementation Excellence
Our Blue Ocean Strategy
Popular Topics
Key Issues Addressed
- How the ongoing trade war will affect the global and regional (SEA) economic growth?
- What will be the future of global trade?
- Did the trade war change SEA imports and exports patterns from the United States and China?
- What are the risk factors arising from this trade war? How to manage these risks?
- What will be the future of the US-China trade war?
No Index | No |
---|---|
Podcast | No |
Author | Fatemeh Dehdar |
Industries | Cross Industries |
WIP Number | 9AB7-00-0D-00-00 |
Is Prebook | No |
GPS Codes | 9100-A2,9869-A2,9985-A2,9A74-A2,9595 |